BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+8 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card at Florida. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 50-100 entrances at that $25k prize, and then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Roosevelt Roberts — $9,500
I expect Roberts to be the much better fighter anywhere this fight goes. I think Gifford’s best shot at a win will be gearing up a guillotine. Other than that, I think we have a fairly safe win here with Roberts and that’s precisely what I am searching for. I want the wins that are safer in money and that I can worry about who’s going to score the highest in GPPs. I think we can get away from him at the GPPs in his cost because if he puts up 90 DK points in a win then won’t win $25k. It helps us triumph in cash games though and I would be surprised if he had a low scoring win here. I believe he’s excellent for 80-100 points here and I am totally okay with that in my cash lineup.
GPP drama of this week — Greg Hardy- $9,300
Hardy is my GPP drama of this week and he has the greatest ITD chances on the card in -222. This is a set up fight for him to get a knockout and I believe that is quite likely going to happen in the very first round. That should put Hardy over 100 things and I am interested in that. Hardy will be one of my top plays of the week, but he is GPP just for me. We can’t trust him enough for cash games, so that’s the reason why I enjoy Roberts more in that arrangement. I do think Hardy can outscore Roberts even though they win, and he is $200 cheaper. That could knock Roberts off the top lineup and in spite of high ownership we can win that $25k with Hardy in our lineup as long as he receives the early KO. Hardy wins in round 1 is lined at -130 and that’s too great for me to pass in GPPs.
Underdog drama of this week — Glover Teixeira — $7,900
Teixeira is no more the underdog on the gambling line (-120) but DraftKings salaries do not change once they’re released. We get Teixeira here for 400 less costly than Cutelaba and he is favored to get the win. In addition, I think he could win in the 1st round with a score and submission above 90 points. That would provide him a fantastic shot at being to the optimal lineup. I will be targeting both sides of the fight in GPPs since I do not expect it to go all 3 rounds, but that value on Teixeira is what I like the most and we need to own”underdogs” within our DK lineups together with the $50k salary cap. I believe the clear path to success for Glover is on the ground and that is precisely what I anticipate his game must be. I like him to find a entry win if he is able to land takedowns and he will be among my greatest owned underdogs this week.
Fade of this week — Carla Esparza ($8,200)
I know folks were expecting me to place Angela Hill as my fade at $9.4k. She’s a solid fade too… However, I’m going with Esparza as my fade this week and that I have zero lineups including her. In general, Esparza is a decent wrestler and we enjoy wrestlers in DraftKings. I simply don’t see wrestling being in her best interest against Jandiroba and I think she uses her wrestling in defense to try to keep this fight on the feet. Each of the threat is on the ground in this matchup and Carla gets the boxing of the two. I think she could acquire a 30-27 striking decision but that won’t score highly, and I’d guess it puts up around ~60 DK points. That is not going to reduce it 8.2k so I just don’t see the way she ends up about the 25k lineup this week even if she does win, and that’s why she’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 69-44 for +224.83u (+$22,483) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

Read more: dannycaliff.com

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